Tempted? I know I am..
Showing posts with label USD. Show all posts
Showing posts with label USD. Show all posts
Sunday, 10 October 2010
GBPEUR - Harbinger of Euro Weakness
Naturally this is just one possible interpretation of the tea leaves, but the potential for a turn is there all the same.
Bonus chart - USDJPY:
Bonus chart - USDJPY:
Sunday, 30 May 2010
Saturday, 29 May 2010
Sunday, 25 April 2010
EURUSD reversal
So an emphatic turn in EURUSD, concordant with my analysis in the GBPEUR pair. Could this be the start of a major strengthening of the Euro?
Saturday, 10 April 2010
Swissie update
Thursday, 8 April 2010
Euro about to get its mojo back?
It would appear that the long-term triangle I have been watching has reached maturity; we are there - wherever there is.
Think I might get out of my EURUSD short...
UPDATE: talking of which, I was looking again at EURUSD. Clearly, we could have seen the low already last week, but I was having difficulty squaring this with a three wave rise and then a seeming impulse down from the corrective high. There is a way, however...
UPDATE 2: got carried away and was a bit early shorting this mother - got stopped out - but the bearish engulfing candle came right on cue...
Time to sell the rip on Monday methinks!
Think I might get out of my EURUSD short...
UPDATE: talking of which, I was looking again at EURUSD. Clearly, we could have seen the low already last week, but I was having difficulty squaring this with a three wave rise and then a seeming impulse down from the corrective high. There is a way, however...
UPDATE 2: got carried away and was a bit early shorting this mother - got stopped out - but the bearish engulfing candle came right on cue...
Time to sell the rip on Monday methinks!
Monday, 5 April 2010
EURUSD: chocks away?
There is always a bullish alternative count; in this case that would be that we already completed wave 5 and thus the huge impulse down from the November high.
But it looks a bit short - under 61.8% of wave 1 - so I figure it's got to be worth a punt short at this point as the alternative (pictured) is that we are about to start (or have already) wave iii of 5 down.
But it looks a bit short - under 61.8% of wave 1 - so I figure it's got to be worth a punt short at this point as the alternative (pictured) is that we are about to start (or have already) wave iii of 5 down.
Thursday, 25 March 2010
Wednesday, 17 March 2010
Tuesday, 16 March 2010
EURUSD looking a little sluggish
// just to note, that iv could very well be (a) of iv (maybe even more likely) - happily, that wouldn't change the immediate outlook
Wednesday, 3 March 2010
AUDUSD - looks like it was one more high then
Got stopped out on my short for no loss. Bit more difficult to manage trades now I can only devote an hour or two to managing positions a day. No matter - this motherfucker still has me salivating. We are farting around in a bearish wedge on the 15 min chart and just waiting for the broadening wedge top to break on the daily. Gonna be a gusher when it does.
Tuesday, 2 March 2010
Shorting here
Friday, 19 February 2010
Thursday, 18 February 2010
AUDUSD - goose cooked or one more high?
I really like AUDUSD as a potential short, but I'm not sure if it's quite done to the upside just yet. It's hanging onto the trendline and 50% fib support right now. I suppose this could make a ballsy overnight long.
UPDATE: Ok, maybe just a cheeky one - I can count a double zig-zag down from the high and we're expecting more upside from equities tomorrow, so that is supporting - if I'm right it should test the 61.8% fib (fell just short today). Placing stop just below the 50% fib.
Wednesday, 10 February 2010
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