Friday, 23 April 2010
Saturday, 10 April 2010
Swissie update
IWM - a little more room to run
Heavy put-buying Friday in IWM, MET and XLF, which makes me doubtful that a top is at hand just yet - the above chart shows we still have room to run up before running into the upper boundary of the expanding diagonal.
Thursday, 8 April 2010
Euro about to get its mojo back?
It would appear that the long-term triangle I have been watching has reached maturity; we are there - wherever there is.
Think I might get out of my EURUSD short...
UPDATE: talking of which, I was looking again at EURUSD. Clearly, we could have seen the low already last week, but I was having difficulty squaring this with a three wave rise and then a seeming impulse down from the corrective high. There is a way, however...
UPDATE 2: got carried away and was a bit early shorting this mother - got stopped out - but the bearish engulfing candle came right on cue...
Time to sell the rip on Monday methinks!
Think I might get out of my EURUSD short...
UPDATE: talking of which, I was looking again at EURUSD. Clearly, we could have seen the low already last week, but I was having difficulty squaring this with a three wave rise and then a seeming impulse down from the corrective high. There is a way, however...
UPDATE 2: got carried away and was a bit early shorting this mother - got stopped out - but the bearish engulfing candle came right on cue...
Time to sell the rip on Monday methinks!
Monday, 5 April 2010
EURUSD: chocks away?
There is always a bullish alternative count; in this case that would be that we already completed wave 5 and thus the huge impulse down from the November high.
But it looks a bit short - under 61.8% of wave 1 - so I figure it's got to be worth a punt short at this point as the alternative (pictured) is that we are about to start (or have already) wave iii of 5 down.
But it looks a bit short - under 61.8% of wave 1 - so I figure it's got to be worth a punt short at this point as the alternative (pictured) is that we are about to start (or have already) wave iii of 5 down.
Thursday, 1 April 2010
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