Friday, 23 April 2010

Fuck it

Going short here

Saturday, 10 April 2010

Swissie update

Quick look at some things Swiss.

Looks poised to strenghten imminently against GBP:



Already started to against USD (this latter ties in nicely with the bullish EUR forecast - wish I'd been paying closer attention to this pair earlier - so many to keep track of though!):

IWM - a little more room to run

Heavy put-buying Friday in IWM, MET and XLF, which makes me doubtful that a top is at hand just yet - the above chart shows we still have room to run up before running into the upper boundary of the expanding diagonal.

Thursday, 8 April 2010

Euro about to get its mojo back?

It would appear that the long-term triangle I have been watching has reached maturity; we are there - wherever there is.

Think I might get out of my EURUSD short...


UPDATE: talking of which, I was looking again at EURUSD. Clearly, we could have seen the low already last week, but I was having difficulty squaring this with a three wave rise and then a seeming impulse down from the corrective high. There is a way, however...


UPDATE 2: got carried away and was a bit early shorting this mother - got stopped out - but the bearish engulfing candle came right on cue...


Time to sell the rip on Monday methinks!

Monday, 5 April 2010

EURUSD: chocks away?

There is always a bullish alternative count; in this case that would be that we already completed wave 5 and thus the huge impulse down from the November high.

But it looks a bit short - under 61.8% of wave 1 - so I figure it's got to be worth a punt short at this point as the alternative (pictured) is that we are about to start (or have already) wave iii of 5 down.

Thursday, 1 April 2010