Showing posts with label NYMO. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NYMO. Show all posts

Saturday, 13 March 2010

Mac and Copper and that - diverging again

So there's a bit of divergence here from copper futes and the McClellan.



NY up/down volume ratio too:



And NYAD...



And the high/low ratio too...



But Mr VIX has not issued a sell signal yet, unlike the January top, which might suggest that any dip will be bought? Clearly, I am still eyeing the 76.4%/full moon time window in two weeks time when I say that.



However, a quick peek at 2007 says that maybe we shouldn't expect any cut-and-dried signals:

Tuesday, 2 March 2010

NYMO and copper diverging



McClellan and copper are both divergent on the new SPX high here.

Saturday, 13 February 2010

Beachy head?

Lots of folks shorting the close here. I'm not quite feeling it - thinking that any pullback will be a B wave of this wave 2 and lead eventually to higher prices before long.

At the small scale, we're seeing lots of bearish wedges, but they only seem to break down a little before the tape melts higher once more. As Bukowski points out, this can be a signal of a more powerful move in the opposite direction - bearish patterns are forming, but the bulls are still winning out - for now.

Put/call ratio has only just tipped into bullish territory and the McClellan is pretty much nowhere. I'd like to see divergences build on both in an ideal world.



UPDATE - today's candle was practically a doji, but it does have a very long tail, indicating that lower prices were rejected by the market - today, at least. Looking at the Hamster bands here, you can see how well price was contained by the BB(13,1.618) and to the upside by the MA(13).



Kenny has a very nice Elliott count here, that indicates that wave 2 could be completed already, but if this is wave 2 then it just looks too dang small to be complete right now, which is why I could see a pull back and then higher prices next week.

Friday night tune - be happy